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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partido ·

Audax São Paulo sub-20 vs Referencia FC sub-20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax São Paulo sub-20Referencia FC sub-20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 24% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Referencia FC sub-20 win (19.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.4%1.24
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapAudax São Paulo sub-20 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax São Paulo sub-20 win56%1.791.5756.4%-0.4 pp
Empate24%4.173.7023.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC sub-20 win20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax São Paulo sub-201.42

Local share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%

Referencia FC sub-200.74

Visitante share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Audax São Paulo sub-20

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Referencia FC sub-20

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax São Paulo sub-20Referencia FC sub-20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax São Paulo sub-20 signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC sub-20 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Audax São Paulo sub-20 vs Referencia FC sub-20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax São Paulo sub-20 ganada 56%,Empate 24%,Referencia FC sub-20 ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de