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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partida ·

Audax São Paulo Sub20 vs Referencia FC Sub20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante20%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax São Paulo Sub20Referencia FC Sub20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 24% / 20%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Referencia FC Sub20 win (19.6%)Dupla Chance1X80.4%1.24
Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%Goals 2.5Abaixo63%1.59
Sim 40% · Não 60%Ambas as equipes marcamNão60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapAudax São Paulo Sub20 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax São Paulo Sub20 win56%1.791.5756.4%-0.4 pp
Empate24%4.173.7023.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC Sub20 win20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax São Paulo Sub201.42

Mandante share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%

Referencia FC Sub200.74

Visitante share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 40% · Não 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Audax São Paulo Sub20

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Referencia FC Sub20

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax São Paulo Sub20Referencia FC Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax São Paulo Sub20 signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC Sub20 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Audax São Paulo Sub20 vs Referencia FC Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax São Paulo Sub20 ganhou 56%,Empate 24%,Referencia FC Sub20 ganhou 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Acima 2.5 37% · Current selection Abaixo