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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw24%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 24% / 20%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Referencia FC U20 win (19.6%)Double chance1X80.4%1.24
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapAudax SP U20 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax SP U20 win56%1.791.5756.4%-0.4 pp
Draw24%4.173.7023.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC U20 win20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax SP U201.42

Home share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Referencia FC U200.74

Away share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Audax SP U20

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Referencia FC U20

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax SP U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax SP U20 win 56%,Draw 24%,Referencia FC U20 win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under