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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Uniao Sao Joao U20 vs CA Bandeirante U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.74 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw28%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uniao Sao Joao U20CA Bandeirante U20
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Over 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
1.74 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uniao Sao Joao U20 win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
CA Bandeirante U20 win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uniao Sao Joao U200.93

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 25% · Under 75%

CA Bandeirante U200.81

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Uniao Sao Joao U20

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Bandeirante U20

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
0.93
Expected goals
0.81
Uniao Sao Joao U20CA Bandeirante U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uniao Sao Joao U20 signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Bandeirante U20 signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Uniao Sao Joao U20 vs CA Bandeirante U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uniao Sao Joao U20 win 43%,Draw 28%,CA Bandeirante U20 win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Over 2.5 25% · Current selection Under