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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partida ·

Mirassol Sub20 vs Itapirense Sub20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–24.40 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa53%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol Sub20Itapirense Sub20
Expected goals4.40Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima82% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
53% / 24% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense Sub20 win (22.9%)Dupla Chance1X77.1%1.30
Acima 82% · Abaixo 18%Goals 2.5Acima82%1.22
Sim 78% · Não 22%Ambas as equipes marcamSim78%1.28
4.40 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–2
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol Sub20 win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp
Empate24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Itapirense Sub20 win23%4.354.0022.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol Sub202.57

Mandante share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals4.40Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 82% · Abaixo 18%

Itapirense Sub201.83

Visitante share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitSim 78% · Não 22%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Mirassol Sub20

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Itapirense Sub20

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.57
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol Sub20Itapirense Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol Sub20 signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense Sub20 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol Sub20 vs Itapirense Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol Sub20 ganhou 53%,Empate 24%,Itapirense Sub20 ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.40 · Acima 2.5 82% · Current selection Acima