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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Wedstrijd ·

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–24.40 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Expected goals4.40Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven82% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 24% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1X77.1%1.30
Boven 82% · Onder 18%Goals 2.5Boven82%1.22
Ja 78% · Nee 22%Beide teams scorenJa78%1.28
4.40 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Itapirense U20 win23%4.354.0022.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol U202.57

Thuis share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals4.40Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 82% · Onder 18%

Itapirense U201.83

Uit share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 78% · Nee 22%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Itapirense U20

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.57
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol U20 signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense U20 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol U20 gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 24%,Itapirense U20 gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.40 · Boven 2.5 82% · Current selection Boven