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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Wedstrijd ·

Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Sertaozinho FC U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Portuguesa Santista U20Sertaozinho FC U20
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 28% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1272.4%1.38
Boven 26% · Onder 74%Goals 2.5Onder74%1.35
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapPortuguesa Santista U20 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portuguesa Santista U20 win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp
Sertaozinho FC U20 win32%3.132.7033.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portuguesa Santista U201.17

Thuis share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 26% · Onder 74%

Sertaozinho FC U200.61

Uit share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Portuguesa Santista U20

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC U20

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
0.61
Portuguesa Santista U20Sertaozinho FC U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portuguesa Santista U20 signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertaozinho FC U20 signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Sertaozinho FC U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portuguesa Santista U20 gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 28%,Sertaozinho FC U20 gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Boven 2.5 26% · Current selection Onder