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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partido ·

Portuguesa Santista sub-20 vs Sertaozinho FC sub-20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Portuguesa Santista sub-20Sertaozinho FC sub-20
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 28% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Doble Oportunidad1272.4%1.38
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 32% · No 68%Ambos equipos marcanNo68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapPortuguesa Santista sub-20 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portuguesa Santista sub-20 win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Empate28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp
Sertaozinho FC sub-20 win32%3.132.7033.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portuguesa Santista sub-201.17

Local share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

Sertaozinho FC sub-200.61

Visitante share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Portuguesa Santista sub-20

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC sub-20

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
0.61
Portuguesa Santista sub-20Sertaozinho FC sub-20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portuguesa Santista sub-20 signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertaozinho FC sub-20 signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portuguesa Santista sub-20 vs Sertaozinho FC sub-20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portuguesa Santista sub-20 ganada 41%,Empate 28%,Sertaozinho FC sub-20 ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de