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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Матч ·

Португеза Сантиста U20 vs ФК Сертанзинью U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Португеза Сантиста U20ФК Сертанзинью U20
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше74% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 28% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Двойной шанс1272.4%1.38
Больше 26% · Меньше 74%Goals 2.5Меньше74%1.35
Да 32% · Нет 68%Обе забьютНет68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapПортугеза Сантиста U20 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Португеза Сантиста U20 win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp
ФК Сертанзинью U20 win32%3.132.7033.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Португеза Сантиста U201.17

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 26% · Меньше 74%

ФК Сертанзинью U200.61

Гости share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Нет 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Португеза Сантиста U20

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Сертанзинью U20

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
0.61
Португеза Сантиста U20ФК Сертанзинью U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Португеза Сантиста U20 signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Сертанзинью U20 signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Португеза Сантиста U20 vs ФК Сертанзинью U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Португеза Сантиста U20 выигрыш 41%,Ничья 28%,ФК Сертанзинью U20 выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · ТБ 2.5 26% · Current selection Меньше