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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Mérkőzés ·

Portuguesa Santista - U20 vs Sertaozinho FC - U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem41%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem32%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Portuguesa Santista - U20Sertaozinho FC - U20
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt74% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
41% / 28% / 32%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dupla esély1272.4%1.38
Felett 26% · Alatt 74%Goals 2.5Alatt74%1.35
Igen 32% · Nem 68%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapPortuguesa Santista - U20 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portuguesa Santista - U20 win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp
Sertaozinho FC - U20 win32%3.132.7033.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portuguesa Santista - U201.17

Hazai share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 26% · Alatt 74%

Sertaozinho FC - U200.61

Vendég share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 32% · Nem 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Portuguesa Santista - U20

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC - U20

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Nyert probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
0.61
Portuguesa Santista - U20Sertaozinho FC - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portuguesa Santista - U20 signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertaozinho FC - U20 signalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portuguesa Santista - U20 vs Sertaozinho FC - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portuguesa Santista - U20 nyer 41%,Döntetlen 28%,Sertaozinho FC - U20 nyer 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 2.5 felett 26% · Current selection Alatt