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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Round 1 ·

Каса Пиа vs Бенфика

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.76 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев7%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей76%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей76% selection probability
Projected score1–2Каса ПиаБенфика
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
7% / 16% / 76%Исход матчаПобеда гостей76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Каса Пиа win (7.4%)Двойной шансX292.6%1.08
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 42% · Нет 58%Обе забьютНет58%1.72
2.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapБенфика winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каса Пиа win7%14.2913.007.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp
Бенфика win76%1.321.2276.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каса Пиа0.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 23.2%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Бенфика2.12

Гости share of expected goals 76.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 42% · Нет 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Каса Пиа

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Бенфика

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
76%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
2.12
Каса ПиаБенфика
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каса Пиа signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Бенфика signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Каса Пиа vs Бенфика FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каса Пиа выигрыш 7%,Ничья 16%,Бенфика выигрыш 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше