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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Матч ·

Фамаликао vs Маритиму

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей20%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФамаликаоМаритиму
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 27% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Маритиму win (19.7%)Двойной шанс1X80.3%1.25
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фамаликао win53%1.891.7354.3%
Ничья27%3.703.5026.9%
Маритиму win20%5.005.0018.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фамаликао1.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Маритиму1.01

Гости share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фамаликао

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Маритиму

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
ФамаликаоМаритиму
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фамаликао signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Маритиму signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Фамаликао vs Маритиму FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фамаликао выигрыш 53%,Ничья 27%,Маритиму выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше