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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Match ·

Famalicao vs Marítimo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger20%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FamalicaoMarítimo
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 27% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marítimo win (19.7%)Dubbelchans1X80.3%1.25
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao win53%1.891.7354.3%
Oavgjort27%3.703.5026.9%
Marítimo win20%5.005.0018.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao1.64

Hemma share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Marítimo1.01

Borta share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Marítimo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
FamalicaoMarítimo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marítimo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Famalicao vs Marítimo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 27%,Marítimo vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under