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PRT Portogallo - Primeira Liga · Partita ·

FC Famalicão vs Maritimo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite20%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC FamalicãoMaritimo
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 27% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Maritimo win (19.7%)Doppia Chance1X80.3%1.25
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Famalicão win53%1.891.7354.3%
Pareggio27%3.703.5026.9%
Maritimo win20%5.005.0018.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Famalicão1.64

Casa share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Maritimo1.01

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Famalicão

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
FC FamalicãoMaritimo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Famalicão signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maritimo signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Famalicão vs Maritimo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Famalicão vinta 53%,Pareggio 27%,Maritimo vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto