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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Spiel ·

Famalicao vs Maritimo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg20%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FamalicaoMaritimo
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 27% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Maritimo win (19.7%)Doppelte Chance1X80.3%1.25
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao win53%1.891.7354.3%
Unentschieden27%3.703.5026.9%
Maritimo win20%5.005.0018.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao1.64

Heim share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Maritimo1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
FamalicaoMaritimo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maritimo signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Famalicao vs Maritimo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 27%,Maritimo Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter