Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
7% / 16% / 76%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Casa Pia win (7.4%)Doppelte ChanceX292.6%1.08
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2——
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapBenfica winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Casa Pia win7%14.2913.007.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp
Benfica win76%1.321.2276.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 23.2%
Total expected goals2.76Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%
Auswärts share of expected goals 76.8%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCasa Pia
LDWLL
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4
SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBenfica
DDWWL
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
7%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
76%4
Points from supplied form
80.64
Expected goals
2.12Casa PiaBenfica
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Casa Pia vs Benfica FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 76% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Casa Pia Gewinn 7%，Unentschieden 16%，Benfica Gewinn 76%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.76 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über。