Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
7% / 16% / 76%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Casa Pia win (7.4%)Doble OportunidadX292.6%1.08
Más de 52% · Menos de 48%Goals 2.5Más de52%1.92
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.76 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2——
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapBenfica winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Casa Pia win7%14.2913.007.2%-0.2 pp
Empate16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp
Benfica win76%1.321.2276.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 23.2%
Total expected goals2.76Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 52% · Menos de 48%
Visitante share of expected goals 76.8%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitSí 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCasa Pia
LDWLL
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBenfica
DDWWL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8
SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
7%
Ganado probability excluding draw
76%4
Points from supplied form
80.64
Expected goals
2.12Casa PiaBenfica
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Casa Pia vs Benfica FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 76% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Casa Pia ganada 7%，Empate 16%，Benfica ganada 76%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.76 · Más de 2.5 52% · Current selection Más de。