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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Κάσα Πία vs Μπενφίκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.76 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου7%
Ισοπαλία16%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου76%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου76% selection probability
Projected score1–2Κάσα ΠίαΜπενφίκα
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
7% / 16% / 76%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κάσα Πία win (7.4%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX292.6%1.08
Άνω 52% · Κάτω 48%Goals 2.5Άνω52%1.92
Ναι 42% · Όχι 58%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58%1.72
2.76 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapΜπενφίκα winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κάσα Πία win7%14.2913.007.2%-0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp
Μπενφίκα win76%1.321.2276.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάσα Πία0.64

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 23.2%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 52% · Κάτω 48%

Μπενφίκα2.12

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 76.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 42% · Όχι 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάσα Πία

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπενφίκα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
76%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
2.12
Κάσα ΠίαΜπενφίκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάσα Πία signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπενφίκα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Κάσα Πία vs Μπενφίκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάσα Πία νίκη 7%,Ισοπαλία 16%,Μπενφίκα νίκη 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Άνω 2.5 52% · Current selection Άνω