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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Fixture ·

Famalicao vs Maritimo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw27%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FamalicaoMaritimo
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 27% / 20%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Maritimo win (19.7%)Double chance1X80.3%1.25
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao win53%1.891.7354.3%
Draw27%3.703.5026.9%
Maritimo win20%5.005.0018.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao1.64

Home share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Maritimo1.01

Away share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
FamalicaoMaritimo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maritimo signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Famalicao vs Maritimo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao win 53%,Draw 27%,Maritimo win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under