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ENG Англия - Чемпионшип · Матч ·

Сток vs Суонси

Archived pre-match prediction

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев35% selection probability
Projected score1–1СтокСуонси
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 31% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Двойной шанс1269.2%1.45
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сток win35%2.86
Ничья31%3.23
Суонси win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сток1.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Суонси1.12

Гости share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сток

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Суонси

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.12
СтокСуонси
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сток signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Суонси signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Сток vs Суонси FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сток выигрыш 35%,Ничья 31%,Суонси выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше