Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 31% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doppia Chance1269.2%1.45
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Stoke win35%2.86
Pareggio31%3.23
Swansea win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%
Trasferta share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchStoke
WDWLL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSwansea
LWWDW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%7
Points from supplied form
101.14
Expected goals
1.12StokeSwansea
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Stoke vs Swansea FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Stoke vinta 35%，Pareggio 31%，Swansea vinta 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.26 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto。