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ENG Αγγλία - Τσάμπιονσιπ · Αγώνας ·

Στόουκ vs Σουόνσι

Archived pre-match prediction

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου35%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου35% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣτόουκΣουόνσι
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
35% / 31% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.2%1.45
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Στόουκ win35%2.86
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Σουόνσι win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Στόουκ1.14

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Σουόνσι1.12

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Στόουκ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σουόνσι

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.12
ΣτόουκΣουόνσι
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Στόουκ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σουόνσι signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Στόουκ vs Σουόνσι FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Στόουκ νίκη 35%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Σουόνσι νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω