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ENG Inglaterra - Championship · Partido ·

Stoke City vs Swansea

Archived pre-match prediction

Local form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local35%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Stoke CitySwansea
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
35% / 31% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doble Oportunidad1269.2%1.45
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Stoke City win35%2.86
Empate31%3.23
Swansea win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stoke City1.14

Local share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%

Swansea1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Stoke City

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Swansea

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.12
Stoke CitySwansea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stoke City signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swansea signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Stoke City vs Swansea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stoke City ganada 35%,Empate 31%,Swansea ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de