Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 31% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doppelte Chance1269.2%1.45
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1——
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Stoke win35%2.86
Unentschieden31%3.23
Swansea win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%
Auswärts share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchStoke
WDWLL
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7
SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSwansea
LWWDW
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10
SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%7
Points from supplied form
101.14
Expected goals
1.12StokeSwansea
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Stoke vs Swansea FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Stoke Gewinn 35%，Unentschieden 31%，Swansea Gewinn 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.26 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter。