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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

МСК Жилина vs ФК Скалица

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев58%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев58% selection probability
Projected score2–1МСК ЖилинаФК Скалица
Expected goals3.08Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
58% / 25% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Скалица win (16.9%)Двойной шанс1X83.1%1.20
Больше 59% · Меньше 41%Goals 2.5Больше59%1.69
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapМСК Жилина winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
МСК Жилина win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
ФК Скалица win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

МСК Жилина2.13

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 59% · Меньше 41%

ФК Скалица0.95

Гости share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

МСК Жилина

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Скалица

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
МСК ЖилинаФК Скалица
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01МСК Жилина signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Скалица signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

МСК Жилина vs ФК Скалица FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

МСК Жилина выигрыш 58%,Ничья 25%,ФК Скалица выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · ТБ 2.5 59% · Current selection Больше