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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier58%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier17%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.08Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
58% / 25% / 17%KampresultatHjemmeseier58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X83.1%1.20
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 54% · Nei 46%Begge lag scorerJa54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMSK Zilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.13

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Borte share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nei 46%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina vunnet 58%,Uavgjort 25%,MFK Skalica vunnet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over