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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MŠK Žilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich58%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MŠK ŽilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.08Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
58% / 25% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.1%1.20
Viac 59% · Menej 41%Goals 2.5Viac59%1.69
Áno 54% · Nie 46%Oba tímy skórujúÁno54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMŠK Žilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MŠK Žilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MŠK Žilina2.13

Domáci share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 59% · Menej 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Hostia share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 54% · Nie 46%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

MŠK Žilina

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
MŠK ŽilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MŠK Žilina signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MŠK Žilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MŠK Žilina výhra 58%,Remíza 25%,MFK Skalica výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Viac 2.5 59% · Current selection Viac