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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger17%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.08Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 25% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Dubbelchans1X83.1%1.20
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMSK Zilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.13

Hemma share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Borta share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 25%,MFK Skalica vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över