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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy58%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości17%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.06Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
58% / 25% / 17%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Podwójna szansa1X83.1%1.20
Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%Goals 2.5Powyżej59%1.69
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
3.06 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMSK Zilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.12

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals3.06Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%

MFK Skalica0.94

Goście share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.12
Expected goals
0.94
MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina wygrana 58%,Remis 25%,MFK Skalica wygrana 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Powyżej 2.5 59% · Current selection Powyżej