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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MŠK Žilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích58%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MŠK ŽilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.08Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více59% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
58% / 25% / 17%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Dvojitá šance1X83.1%1.20
Více 59% · Méně 41%Goals 2.5Více59%1.69
Ano 54% · Ne 46%Oba týmy skórujíAno54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMŠK Žilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MŠK Žilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MŠK Žilina2.13

Domácí share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 59% · Méně 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Hosté share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 54% · Ne 46%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

MŠK Žilina

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
MŠK ŽilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MŠK Žilina signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MŠK Žilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MŠK Žilina výhra 58%,Remíza 25%,MFK Skalica výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Více 2.5 59% · Current selection Více