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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.07Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über59% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 25% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (16.9%)Doppelte Chance1X83.1%1.20
Über 59% · Unter 41%Goals 2.5Über59%1.69
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
3.07 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMSK Zilina winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
MFK Skalica win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.12

Heim share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.07Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 59% · Unter 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
13
2.12
Expected goals
0.95
MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 25%,MFK Skalica Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Über 2.5 59% · Current selection Über