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CHN China Division 2 · Матч ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Вэньчжоу ФК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев42%
Ничья35%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuВэньчжоу ФК
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
42% / 35% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Вэньчжоу ФК win (23.1%)Двойной шанс1X76.9%1.30
Больше 21% · Меньше 79%Goals 2.5Меньше79%1.27
Да 28% · Нет 72%Обе забьютНет72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Ничья35%2.86
Вэньчжоу ФК win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Хозяева share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 21% · Меньше 79%

Вэньчжоу ФК0.55

Гости share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 28% · Нет 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Вэньчжоу ФК

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuВэньчжоу ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вэньчжоу ФК signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Вэньчжоу ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu выигрыш 42%,Ничья 35%,Вэньчжоу ФК выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · ТБ 2.5 21% · Current selection Меньше