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CHN China Division 2 · Match ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul35%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de79% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 35% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (23.1%)Double chance1X76.9%1.30
Plus de 21% · Moins de 79%Goals 2.5Moins de79%1.27
Oui 28% · Non 72%Les deux équipes marquentNon72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Nul35%2.86
Wenzhou FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Domicile share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 21% · Moins de 79%

Wenzhou FC0.55

Extérieur share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 28% · Non 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu victoire 42%,Nul 35%,Wenzhou FC victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Plus de 2.5 21% · Current selection Moins de