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CHN China Division 2 · Partita ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio35%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto79% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 35% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (23.1%)Doppia Chance1X76.9%1.30
Sopra 21% · Sotto 79%Goals 2.5Sotto79%1.27
Sì 28% · No 72%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Pareggio35%2.86
Wenzhou FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Casa share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 21% · Sotto 79%

Wenzhou FC0.55

Trasferta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu vinta 42%,Pareggio 35%,Wenzhou FC vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Sopra 2.5 21% · Current selection Sotto