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CHN China Division 2 · Meci ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal35%
Victorie oaspeți23%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub79% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 35% / 23%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (23.1%)Șansă dublă1X76.9%1.30
Peste 21% · Sub 79%Goals 2.5Sub79%1.27
Da 28% · Nu 72%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Egal35%2.86
Wenzhou FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Gazde share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 21% · Sub 79%

Wenzhou FC0.55

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 28% · Nu 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu câștig 42%,Egal 35%,Wenzhou FC câștig 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Peste 2.5 21% · Current selection Sub