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CHN China Division 2 · Match ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort35%
Bortaseger23%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under79% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 35% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (23.1%)Dubbelchans1X76.9%1.30
Över 21% · Under 79%Goals 2.5Under79%1.27
Ja 28% · Nej 72%Båda lagen gör målNej72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Oavgjort35%2.86
Wenzhou FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Hemma share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 21% · Under 79%

Wenzhou FC0.55

Borta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nej 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 35%,Wenzhou FC vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Över 2.5 21% · Current selection Under