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CHN China Division 2 · Αγώνας ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Γουενζού FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία35%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου23%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuΓουενζού FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω79% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 35% / 23%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γουενζού FC win (23.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.9%1.30
Άνω 21% · Κάτω 79%Goals 2.5Κάτω79%1.27
Ναι 28% · Όχι 72%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι72%1.39
1.57 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Guangdong Mingtu win42%2.38
Ισοπαλία35%2.86
Γουενζού FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 21% · Κάτω 79%

Γουενζού FC0.55

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 35%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 28% · Όχι 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γουενζού FC

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.55
Guangdong MingtuΓουενζού FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γουενζού FC signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Γουενζού FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 35%,Γουενζού FC νίκη 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Άνω 2.5 21% · Current selection Κάτω