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CHN China Division 2 · Partita ·

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–00.99 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score1–0Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto92% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo87% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 29% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (17.7%)Doppia Chance1X82.3%1.22
Sopra 8% · Sotto 92%Goals 2.5Sotto92%1.09
Sì 13% · No 87%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo87%1.15
0.99 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDalian Kewei winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dalian Kewei win53%1.891.6753.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Kewei0.70

Casa share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 8% · Sotto 92%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 13% · No 87%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Dalian Kewei

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
0.29
Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Kewei signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–0 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Kewei vinta 53%,Pareggio 29%,Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Sopra 2.5 8% · Current selection Sotto