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CHN China Division 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–00.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst18%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score1–0Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder92% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee87% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 29% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (17.7%)Dubbele Kans1X82.3%1.22
Boven 8% · Onder 92%Goals 2.5Onder92%1.09
Ja 13% · Nee 87%Beide teams scorenNee87%1.15
0.99 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDalian Kewei winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dalian Kewei win53%1.891.6753.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Kewei0.70

Thuis share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 8% · Onder 92%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.29

Uit share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 13% · Nee 87%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Dalian Kewei

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
0.29
Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Kewei signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Kewei gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 29%,Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Boven 2.5 8% · Current selection Onder