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BRA Бразилия - Кубок Паулиста · Final ·

Унион Сан-Жуан vs Комерсиал СП

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей30%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 39% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Унион Сан-ЖуанКомерсиал СП
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 31% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Комерсиал СП win (29.7%)Двойной шанс1X70.3%1.42
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Унион Сан-Жуан win39%2.562.3039%
Ничья31%3.232.8831.1%
Комерсиал СП win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Унион Сан-Жуан1.24

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Комерсиал СП1.01

Гости share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Унион Сан-Жуан

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Комерсиал СП

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
Унион Сан-ЖуанКомерсиал СП
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Унион Сан-Жуан signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Комерсиал СП signalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Унион Сан-Жуан vs Комерсиал СП FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Унион Сан-Жуан выигрыш 39%,Ничья 31%,Комерсиал СП выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше