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BRA Brasil - Copa Paulista · Partida ·

União São João vs Comercial SP

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante30%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1União São JoãoComercial SP
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 31% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comercial SP win (29.7%)Dupla Chance1X70.3%1.42
Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%Goals 2.5Abaixo61%1.64
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
União São João win39%2.562.3039%
Empate31%3.232.8831.1%
Comercial SP win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

União São João1.24

Mandante share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%

Comercial SP1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

União São João

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Comercial SP

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
União São JoãoComercial SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01União São João signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comercial SP signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

União São João vs Comercial SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

União São João ganhou 39%,Empate 31%,Comercial SP ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Acima 2.5 39% · Current selection Abaixo