Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 30%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comercial SP win (29.7%)Double chance1X70.3%1.42
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uniao Sao Joao win39%2.562.3039%—
Draw31%3.232.8831.1%—
Comercial SP win30%3.333.0029.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.1%
Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 44.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchUniao Sao Joao
WDDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchComercial SP
LWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
30%5
Points from supplied form
71.24
Expected goals
1.01Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Uniao Sao Joao win 39%，Draw 31%，Comercial SP win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。