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BRA ブラジル パウリスタカップ · 試合 ·

ウニオン・サン・ジョアン vs コマーシャルSP

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利30%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ウニオン・サン・ジョアンコマーシャルSP
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 31% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes コマーシャルSP win (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1X70.3%1.42
オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%Goals 2.5アンダー61%1.64
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.25 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ウニオン・サン・ジョアン win39%2.562.3039%
引き分け31%3.232.8831.1%
コマーシャルSP win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ウニオン・サン・ジョアン1.24

ホーム share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%

コマーシャルSP1.01

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ウニオン・サン・ジョアン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

コマーシャルSP

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
ウニオン・サン・ジョアンコマーシャルSP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ウニオン・サン・ジョアン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02コマーシャルSP signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ウニオン・サン・ジョアン vs コマーシャルSP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ウニオン・サン・ジョアン 勝ち 39%,引き分け 31%,コマーシャルSP 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · オーバー 2.5 39% · Current selection アンダー