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BRA Brésil - Paulista Cup · Final ·

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 39% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 31% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comercial SP win (29.7%)Double chance1X70.3%1.42
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uniao Sao Joao win39%2.562.3039%
Nul31%3.232.8831.1%
Comercial SP win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uniao Sao Joao1.24

Domicile share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

Comercial SP1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Uniao Sao Joao

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Comercial SP

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uniao Sao Joao signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comercial SP signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uniao Sao Joao victoire 39%,Nul 31%,Comercial SP victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de