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BRA Βραζιλία - Κύπελλο Παουλίστα · Αγώνας ·

Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο vs Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Market-based forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ουνιάο Σάο ΖοάοΚομερσιάλ ΣΠ
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 31% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ win (29.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.3%1.42
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο win39%2.562.3039%
Ισοπαλία31%3.232.8831.1%
Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο1.24

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ1.01

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
Ουνιάο Σάο ΖοάοΚομερσιάλ ΣΠ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο vs Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ουνιάο Σάο Ζοάο νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Κομερσιάλ ΣΠ νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω