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BRA Brasile - Copa Paulista · Partita ·

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite30%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 31% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comercial SP win (29.7%)Doppia Chance1X70.3%1.42
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uniao Sao Joao win39%2.562.3039%
Pareggio31%3.232.8831.1%
Comercial SP win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uniao Sao Joao1.24

Casa share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Comercial SP1.01

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Uniao Sao Joao

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Comercial SP

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uniao Sao Joao signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comercial SP signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uniao Sao Joao vinta 39%,Pareggio 31%,Comercial SP vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto