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BRA Brasile - Copa Paulista · Partita ·

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite29%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 28% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Doppia Chance1271.9%1.39
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Noroeste win43%2.332.1042.9%
Pareggio28%3.573.2028.1%
XV Piracicaba win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Noroeste1.29

Casa share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

XV Piracicaba0.99

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Noroeste

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

XV Piracicaba

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.29
Expected goals
0.99
NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Noroeste signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV Piracicaba signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Noroeste vinta 43%,Pareggio 28%,XV Piracicaba vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto