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BRA Brazilia - Paulista Cup · Meci ·

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score1–1NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 28% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Șansă dublă1271.9%1.39
Peste 40% · Sub 60%Goals 2.5Sub60%1.67
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Noroeste win43%2.332.1042.9%
Egal28%3.573.2028.1%
XV Piracicaba win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Noroeste1.29

Gazde share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 40% · Sub 60%

XV Piracicaba0.99

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Noroeste

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

XV Piracicaba

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.29
Expected goals
0.99
NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Noroeste signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV Piracicaba signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Noroeste câștig 43%,Egal 28%,XV Piracicaba câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Peste 2.5 40% · Current selection Sub