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BRA Бразилия - Кубок Паулиста · Матч ·

ЕК Сао Бернардо vs Сан-Каэтано

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей21%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕК Сао БернардоСан-Каэтано
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 28% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сан-Каэтано win (21.3%)Двойной шанс1X78.7%1.27
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЕК Сао Бернардо win51%1.961.7551.3%
Ничья28%3.573.2028%
Сан-Каэтано win21%4.764.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЕК Сао Бернардо1.42

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

Сан-Каэтано0.88

Гости share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЕК Сао Бернардо

2.00pts / match
Сыграно3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/3

Гости-context · form sequence

Сан-Каэтано

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalГости clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.42
Expected goals
0.88
ЕК Сао БернардоСан-Каэтано
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЕК Сао Бернардо signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сан-Каэтано signalГости clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ЕК Сао Бернардо vs Сан-Каэтано FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЕК Сао Бернардо выигрыш 51%,Ничья 28%,Сан-Каэтано выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше