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CHN China Division 2 · Матч ·

Чанчунь Сиду vs Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score0–11.85 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев17%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей53%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей53% selection probability
Projected score0–1Чанчунь СидуШаньси Чонгде Ронгай
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
17% / 31% / 53%Исход матчаПобеда гостей53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Чанчунь Сиду win (16.6%)Двойной шансX283.4%1.20
Больше 28% · Меньше 72%Goals 2.5Меньше72%1.39
Да 28% · Нет 72%Обе забьютНет72%1.39
1.85 total expected goalsТочный счёт0–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Чанчунь Сиду win17%5.88
Ничья31%3.23
Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Чанчунь Сиду0.44

Хозяева share of expected goals 23.8%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 28% · Меньше 72%

Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай1.41

Гости share of expected goals 76.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 28% · Нет 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Чанчунь Сиду

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.41
Чанчунь СидуШаньси Чонгде Ронгай
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Чанчунь Сиду signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Чанчунь Сиду vs Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Чанчунь Сиду выигрыш 17%,Ничья 31%,Шаньси Чонгде Ронгай выигрыш 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · ТБ 2.5 28% · Current selection Меньше